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Monday, February 19, 2024

Laying the groundwork for Gaza’s permanent exodus

February 19, 2024
With most of the Gaza Strip’s Palestinians now trapped inside the enclave’s southern tip, the Israeli onslaught they had attempted to escape has followed them to Rafah. Some 1.4 million people are pinned against a virtually impermeable Egyptian border, while the entry of life-sustaining aid is chronically stalled. At Kerem Shalom, the southeastern crossing directly controlled by Israel, Jewish Israelis have been filmed gleefully blocking food convoys from Egypt, in a fitting correlative to the genocidal rhetoric of their leaders.
Israeli soldiers seen near the Gaza fence, southern Israel, January 7, 2024. (Chaim Goldberg/Flash90)
Where, then, are the Palestinians of Gaza, hungry and homeless, to go?
The question hangs over every massacre in Rafah, where Israel’s attacks have kept pace with those of the past four months. Last week, more than 100 Palestinians perished in a single night of intense strikes that the Israeli military, scrambling to free two hostages, dubbed “diversionary.” The attacks may be a sign of worse to come: the UN’s humanitarian affairs chief, Martin Griffiths, warned of “a slaughter” if Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu proceeds with a promised ground assault on Rafah.
Rather than press for a ceasefire, though, the White House has issued toothless calls for Israel to protect Gaza’s civilians, as if the same military that has killed more than 12,000 Palestinian children has any interest in sparing the innocent. Knowing this, some Palestinians have tried to return to the north, but looming famine among the displaced means any safety, however elusive, will soon give way to hunger. UNRWA, the UN agency leading food distribution in Gaza, says the last of its aid convoys to reach the north arrived more than three weeks ago, on Jan. 23.
With food scarce and safe shelter a gamble, hundreds of families in Gaza have been raising money online to cover the “coordination services” of Egyptian middlemen, who charge thousands of dollars to secure passage through the Rafah Crossing. Demand for these exits far exceeds the Egyptian government’s willingness to accommodate them, though, and Palestinians fear that they may soon have no choice but to amass at the border, pleading for refuge in the Sinai desert.
This scenario may be prompting Egypt’s government to prepare for a mass exodus through Rafah, according to a report last week by the Sinai Foundation for Human Rights. The report cites unnamed sources involved in the construction of a “security zone” in eastern Sinai, where seven-meter walls are being erected “with the aim of receiving refugees from Gaza.” Egyptian officials told Ahram Online that the area is a “logistics hub” for aid to be delivered “through the Rafah Border Crossing,” though it was unclear how such a hub would help overcome Israel’s hindering of shipments.        
The Sinai Foundation backed up its claims with photos of the construction site, where it says activity began on Feb. 12 — the day Israel launched its fiercest assault so far on Rafah. The Associated Press similarly confirmed these activities through satellite images of the area. Muhannad Sabry, an Egyptian journalist and Sinai expert, told the Sinai Foundation that preparations for the anticipated displacement were taking place “in coordination with Israel and the United States.”
If Israel’s perceived sense of security somehow hinges on emptying Gaza of its people, Netanyahu and his American backers have resisted saying so publicly. Members of Netanyahu’s cabinet, however, have had no such inhibitions.
Indeed, the Israelis have long telegraphed their hopes for a second Palestinian Nakba. As early as October, +972 reported on former Israeli deputy foreign minister Danny Ayalon’s call for establishing “tent cities” in the Sinai, where he saw “a huge expanse, almost endless space.” And just four days into Israel’s assault, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken, when asked about securing “safe passage out of Gaza” for Palestinian civilians, told reporters that the White House was “talking to Egypt about that.”      
Although Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi had repeatedly dismissed the possibility, Cairo-based news outlet Mada Masr — in an October report that it later retracted — cited officials with knowledge of “economic incentives” tied to Egypt’s “acceptance of large inflows of displaced Palestinians.”
The Mada Masr report is no longer available online, but it tracks with more recent statements by Israeli and American officials, who have insisted on redirecting UNRWA funds “to address [the] potential needs of Gazans fleeing to neighboring countries.” That language appeared in an Oct. 20 White House memo that requested supplemental funding to help Israel “reestablish territorial security.”
UNRWA on its knees
Meanwhile, the two governments have been in lockstep over plans to debilitate UNRWA by suspending funds over allegations that a handful of its employees were involved in the October 7 attack; multiple European states have followed suit, despite a lack of serious evidence and the disproportionate nature of the response.
Without the agency — whose areas of operation, in addition to the occupied territories, span Jordan, Lebanon, and Syria — Palestinians in Gaza stand little chance of surviving the current onslaught, much less rebuilding the enclave after it ends.
For four months, Israel has systematically targeted and destroyed not only the institutions of Hamas governance in Gaza, but also much of UNRWA’s presence there. While UNRWA schools and refugee camps were subject to repeated Israeli strikes in 2014’s Operation Protective Edge, the latest assault has taken direct aim at the UNRWA headquarters and denied the agency access to all its facilities north of Wadi Gaza, which divides the enclave roughly in half.
Current and former UNRWA officials who spoke with +972 said there are no precedents for the present situation. Lex Takkenberg, who spent three decades working with UNRWA, most recently as its chief ethics officer, recalled the destruction in the northern West Bank city of Jenin during Israel’s invasion in 2002. That operation — part of what was then the largest Israeli military build-up in the West Bank since the 1967 War — killed scores of Palestinians and leveled much of the UNRWA-administered refugee camp bordering the city.
“It took us more than a year just to remove the unexploded ordinance and rubble,” said Takkenberg, who was briefly responsible for the UNRWA reconstruction effort in Jenin. He estimates that the destroyed area, which he called “ground zero,” was roughly the size of “five to ten football fields.”
By comparison, the destruction in Gaza, with a population roughly 100 times that of the Jenin refugee camp, is apocalyptic. The 25-mile-long Strip has already lost roughly 60 percent of its housing units, according to the UN’s Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs, or OCHA.
But Israel’s “true genocidal intent,” Takkenberg continued, comes through in its deliberate destruction of essential infrastructure like schools and health centers. OCHA says that about two-thirds of Gaza’s hospitals are no longer functioning and 140 schools have been damaged or destroyed — with the rest either abandoned or used as shelters by hundreds of thousands of displaced Palestinians. UNRWA estimates that more than a million Gazans have sought refuge at its facilities across the strip.
Now faced with a funding freeze by its top donor, the United States, along with 15 other countries, the agency is considering a range of “financial management tactics” to help it sustain its work beyond February. That, according to UNRWA officials, is when its funding reserves are likely to run out, leaving it unable to pay salaries or, indeed, manage the distribution of food and other vital aid in Gaza.
Palestinians receive food aid at a United Nations distribution center (UNRWA) in the Rafah refugee camp in the southern Gaza Strip,
“We are doing everything we can to try and convince these donors to reconsider their decision, to encourage other [current] donors to increase their funding, and to bring in new donors,” Juliette Touma, UNRWA’s worldwide director of communications, told +972. When I asked her if the agency was considering scaling back its work in other places to help sustain its emergency relief in Gaza, she acknowledged it was “a fair question” and that “all options are on the table,” but remained hopeful the agency would secure enough funding to continue uninterrupted.
Even if donors can help make up some of the shortfall in UNRWA funding, it’s unclear how the agency can overcome the multiple bureaucratic hurdles being erected by the Israeli government. The state has refused to clear the right-wing protestors blocking aid through Kerem Shalom, and Israel’s finance minister, Bezalel Smotrich, has instructed contractors at the Ashdod port not to deliver much-needed flour shipments to UNRWA. On Feb. 15, the Knesset followed with a bill to bar the agency from operating on Israel’s “sovereign territory.”
Making displacement permanent
With Netanyahu rejecting any Palestinian sovereignty over Gaza and no viable plans to assemble an international caretaker authority, Israel seems intent on assuming “security responsibility” over the Strip. Standing in its way are Hamas’ ongoing resistance and the presence of some 2.2 million civilians, 70 percent of whom fall under the care of UNRWA.
Pushing as many Palestinians as possible out of Gaza has long been a fantasy of Israeli politicians. Now, with roughly half of the Strip’s population backed against the Egyptian border and much of the remaining half threatened with starvation, Israel appears closer than ever to making good on that fantasy.
Forced displacement, however, is only one of Israel’s aims; making it permanent is the other. Established in 1949, UNRWA — which was initially “an instrument of explicit U.S. policy,” Takkenberg reminded me — has sustained five generations of Palestinian refugees, including in emergencies, according to the agency’s Registration and Eligibility Division. Since any Palestinians pushed into the Sinai would no longer reside within UNRWA’s area of operations, their right to return, Israel and its backers insist, would also become moot.
This argument is not true, according to Francesca Albanese, who, with Takkenberg, co-authored a 2020 book on Palestinian refugee rights and currently serves as the UN’s Special Rapporteur on the occupied Palestinian territories.
Writing for the Institute for Palestine Studies in 2018, just as the Trump administration had defunded UNRWA, Albanese pointed out that, even if Palestinian refugees were to fall under the purview of the UN High Commissioner for Refugees — as all non-Palestine refugees do — “the relevance of international norms and UN resolutions, such as Resolution 194, for Palestine refugees, would remain unchanged.” That resolution, passed in December 1948, affirms that Palestinian refugees who want to return to their lands “should be permitted to do so at the earliest practicable date.”
“Forcing UNRWA to cease operations or forcing Palestinian refugees into Egypt will not abolish the inalienable rights of the refugees to return, restitution, and compensation,” Takkenberg said. “Those rights flow from the illegality of the ethnic cleansing of Palestine, and they only become stronger with the passage of time and the further development of international law.”
Meanwhile, as the so-called rules-based international order continues to fail Palestinians, crowdfunding sites like GoFundMe display page upon page of desperate pleas that speak to a different, more urgent truth: with nowhere left to run, the people of Gaza have had enough of Israel’s war and its bloody dividends. Above all, they want to live.
“We have endured so much hardship and uncertainty,” one woman, a 21-year-old dentistry student in Gaza, shares through the site. “We are desperately seeking a way to reach safety and provide a better life for our children.” Any donations, she adds, will cover “the fees required to cross the border into Egypt.”
 
Palestinians in Gaza Do Have Somewhere to Go
Many professing solidarity with Palestinians — including alleged legal experts — being slaughtered in Gaza have said they have “nowhere to go”.
It’s not true.
They do.
Somewhere they actually should go.
Their homes in what is now Israel.
The majority of families of Palestinians in Gaza were forced there by Israel in 1948.
See great thread by Hanine Hassan: “Who told you that the 1.5 million displaced Palestinians sheltering in Rafah have nowhere left to go? My family, now in Rafah, has a home in Jaffa, from which we were expelled by a fascist German family. The majority of our people in Gaza have homes to go to, all over Palestine.”
As Prof. John Quigley has noted: “They are entitled to repatriation under international law, including the International Convention on the Elimination of All Forms of Racial Discrimination which Israel has signed and ratified.” See his writing on this subject here and here.
And of course there’s UN Resolution 194 of Dec. 11, 1948 which “Resolves that the refugees wishing to return to their homes and live at peace with their neighbours should be permitted to do so at the earliest practicable date, and that compensation should be paid for the property of those choosing not to return…”
The extremely pro-Israel Harry Truman would state the following year that if “Israel continues to reject the basic principles set forth” in that UN resolution, the US government “will regretfully be forced to the conclusion that a revision of its attitude toward Israel has become unavoidable.” (See below re JFK.)
UN mediator Count Folke Bernadotte would report on September 18, 1948: “It would be an offence against the principles of elemental justice if these innocent victims of the conflict were denied the right to return to their homes, while Jewish immigrants flow into Palestine, and, indeed, at least offer the threat of permanent replacement of the Arab refugees, who have been rooted in the land for centuries.” Actually, Bernadotte wouldn’t report that, because the Stern Gang shot him six times the day before his report was issued. They shot his French assistant no less than 17 times. No one was ever brought to justice for killing the mediator.
The prospect of Palestinians going back to their homes continues to bring out the most murderous impulses in Israeli officials. AntiWar.com reports: “Israeli Minister of National Security Itamar Ben Gvir said on Sunday that Israeli forces should shoot Palestinian women and children in Gaza if they get too close to the Israeli border. … ‘We cannot have women and children getting close to the border… anyone who gets near must get a bullet [in his head],’ Ben-Gvir said during an argument with Israeli Defense Forces Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Herzi Halevi about the IDF’s open fire policies, according to The Jerusalem Post.
“After his comments leaked to the press, Ben Gvir doubled down. In a post on X, the Israeli minister said he ‘does not stutter and does not intend to apologize. All those who endanger our citizens by getting near the border must be shot. This is what they do in any normal state.’”
Indeed, in 2018 the “Great March of Return” began, as Palestinians in Gaza tried to simply walk back to their homes. On Aug. 31, 2023, The Palestine Chronicle reported: “Gaza to Resume Great March of Return Protests.” Maureen Clare Murphy at the Electronic Intifada noted in September:
Protests along the Gaza-Israel boundary resumed in August. Massive demonstrations dubbed the Great March of Return were held on a regular basis for nearly two years beginning in early 2018.
The protests were aimed at ending the Israeli siege on Gaza and allowing Palestinian refugees to exercise their right of return as enshrined in international law. Some two-thirds of Gaza’s population of more than two million people are refugees from lands just beyond the boundary fence.
More than 215 Palestinian civilians, including more than 40 children, were killed during those demonstrations, and thousands more wounded by live fire during those protests between March 2018 and December 2019.
A UN commission of inquiry found that Israel’s use of lethal force against protesters warrants criminal investigation and prosecution and may amount to war crimes and crimes against humanity.
Excessive use of force against Great March of Return protests is expected to be a major focus of the International Criminal Court’s Palestine investigation, should it move forward.
The recently slain Palestinian writer Refaat Alareer noted on Oct. 8, 2023: “The very Israeli snipers that gunned down hundreds of Palestinian marchers in the Great Return March in 2018/19 were neutralised by Palestinian freedom fighters.”
In a recent piece in the New York Review of Books — “Gaza: Two Rights of Return — Most Palestinians in Gaza are now displaced at least twice over. They have a right to choose where to return” — Sari Bashi from Human Rights Watch writes as a Jewish woman married to a Palestinian man whose family was forced from their homes in 1948 and again during the current assault: “I’ll be relieved if my in-laws are merely allowed to return to northern Gaza and receive support to rebuild a house there.”
Israel is great at that. Committing so many crimes such that some people are relieved that the most recent may be alleviated. In fact, such a posture may well facilitate a festering of chronic injustices — and an incentive for Israel to continue its criminality.
See also this piece which contains my own family’s story of the Nakba, which I also talked about, along with journalism, geopolitics, lab origins of Covid and Ebola and other issues, in myrecent interview with Kim Iversen.

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