Who would really obtain and read a book with such a
title? Some may buy this book out of curiosity, and to check the content. A
person may open this book to learn about the author, one who dares to
insult his readers in such a direct way. Some may be interested to find out if the
author thinks he is more intelligent than others. Whoever reads this book,
would probably think of himself or herself as a smart person, since someone who
does not think much of himself would not bother with a book carrying such title.
The book, in fact, challenges the common ideas and common beliefs which we
consider to be a natural way of thinking. Each chapter of the book is a
challenge to oneself in a different behavioral and psychological concept. Subjects described in the book are certified with descriptions of one or more
experiments conducted by experimenters of specialized fields. Chapters begin
with “The Misconception” and “The Truth”, which examines what people believe
and what the truth about that belief is. As the author explains, materials
specified in the book were originally published in his blog, and in different
times, which he decided to compile them into a book.
Chapter five is titled “The Texas Sharpshooter
Fallacy”. It is the story of this person whose fun in his free time is to aim
at the wall of his barn. After a long period of shooting at the barn, he checks
the wall and finds a place where most of the bullets have hit. He draws several
circles inside each other where the concentration of the bullets is, in a way
that it would represent a target circles. Anyone who looks at the wall assumes
that the target was drawn on the wall prior to the bullet holes, and assumes
that to be the work of a sharp shooter. This is an example of creating a
pattern out of a coincidence; after all, what some call coincidence, others coll
fate. David McRaney, the author gives an interesting example: “Say you go on a date, and the other person
reveals he or she drives the same kind of car you do… later you learn your
date’s mom’s name is the same as your mom’s, and your mothers have the same
birthday… you find out you both own the box set of ‘Monty Python’s Flying
Circus’, and you both grew up loving ‘Rescue Rangers’. You both love pizza, but
hate rutabagas. This is meant to be, you think. You are made for each other;”
(P.38). This illustration is what fate is all about. How else could two
people match so well? In fact, is it wise for two people who would like to
share the rest of their lives with each other to also share so much
similarities, or it is better to be different and learn from each other? From
the time we are born, our parents teach us how to talk, walk, eat, speak, and
many other fundamental and essential life lessons. Then, we go to school and
learn how to read and write and how the world around us operates. In college we
learn a specific trade or career path we would like to take. At work, we learn
how to undertake tasks which would, in collaboration with other tasks, improve
the organization we are employed with, in order for it to accomplish its
mission. In our non-working time, we enjoy socializing; and socializing means
give and take of ideas and what we have learned. Who is better and closer than
a spouse to learn from? However, it is a popular belief that the more
similarities a couple have, the better they can get along with each other,
which is true as long as one prefers teaching than learning. But, this is
somehow a different subject from what the author discussing here. When you are
in a similar situation as the above, and “the
hand of fate is pushing you towards the other person,” it is easy to forget
the details and fall into a series of coincidences, although the explanation is
very logical: “How many people in the
world own that model of car? You are both about the same age, so your mothers
are too, and their names were probably common in their time. Since you and your
date have similar backgrounds and grew up in the same decade, you probably
share the same childhood TV shows. Everyone loves Monty Python. Everyone loves
pizza. Many people hate rutabagas;” (P.38,39).
You are not so smart means that all of us are
lulled by what we perceive to be the fact from outside, using our five senses.
That is truly natural considering that for millions of years we had to rely on
those senses and make decisions merely based on them and in a blink of an eye,
in order to survive. Now that we don’t have to worry about our safety every
minute, or we can lose the chance of catching a prey to feed ourselves, we
should be able to analyze all instances in a broader picture and use our wisdom
more than our feelings. We are not aware of most of our subconscious, and we
normally rely on our first observation which stays in mind for a long time. The
ability to think twice is always a smart move.
Chapter nine is titled “The Availability Heuristic”,
that discusses how our mind processes available information much easier than the
information which is not present or fresh in mind. The phrase that; if you want
people to believe it, keep repeating it as a fact, no matter how outlandish the
claim, is a product of this function of our minds. The book talks about
Columbine school shooting and how it became a major undertaking in the final
year of last century: “hundreds of books,
seminars, and films have been produced in an attempt to understand the sudden
epidemic. The truth, however, was that there hadn’t been an increase in school
shootings… During the time when Columbine and other school shootings got major
media attention, violence in schools was down over 30 percent. Kids were more
likely to get shot in school before Columbine, but the media during the time
hadn’t given you many examples;” (P.70,71). Then, the book discusses an
experiment and concludes: “more available
a bit of information is, the faster you process it. The faster you process it,
the more you believe it and the less likely you become to consider other bits
of info;” (P.71). This also proves the role of the media, as it has
increasingly been the mouthpiece of the rich and powerful, and all facets of
media have successfully dumbed down recipients’ intelligence through sports and
entertainment.
One of the ways that the media can influence us is
to produce a false picture of the world we are living in. In spite of all
atrocities that various governments and non-governments inflict on people,
living in a “just world” is what we believe in; which is the subject of chapter
18 under the heading “The Just-World Fallacy”, that examines this phenomenon: “A world with righteous on one side of the
scale and evil on the other- that seems to make sense. You want to believe
those who work hard and sacrifice get ahead and those who are lazy and cheat do
not…Success is often greatly influenced by when you were born, where you grew
up, the socioeconomic status of your family, and random chance. All the hard
work in the world can’t change those initial factors…The psychologist Jonathan
Haidt says many people who don’t consciously believe in karma will believe deep
down in some versions of it, calling it whatever seems appropriate in their own
culture. They see systems like welfare and affirmative action as disrupting the
balance of the natural world;” (P.110). This way of thinking is also
promoted by the wealthy class, who survives on the majority’s toil, and the
only way they can receive service is to keep people poor and needy. The
marginalized majority is always fed superstition by religion authorities who
are in the service of the rich. The underprivileged is always pushed to believe
that without the prosperous bosses or owners or government high officials, they
cannot survive, the fact of which is the opposite.
“You have a
need for other people to like you and admire you,” is the beginning of a
general statement made to describe every reader, which is the subject of
chapter 21 titled: “Subjective Validation”. The statement is in fact a mismatch
of phrases adopted from a horoscope by a Bertram R. Forer, in an experiment in 1948:
“He gave his students a personality test
and told them each one had personally been assessed, but then gave everyone the
same analysis. He asked his students to look over the statements and rate them
for accuracy. On average, they rated the bogus analysis as 85 percent correct-
as if it had been personally prepared to describe each one of them;” (P.120).
When we are the subject of a study and the focus is on us, because of
subjective validation we are vulnerable to suggestion, and we can easily become
the target for use: “psychologists point
to this phenomenon to explain why people fall for pseudoscience like
biorhythms, iridology, and phrenology, or mysticism like astrology, numerology,
and tarot cards;” (P.120).
We make many decisions every day, sometimes without
even being conscious of them. Our logic and our emotions work together to make
a decision affected by our senses, and at the same time practical. The balance
in using wisdom or sense, is what makes the difference between differing
decisions made by two different people on the same subject. We have the
tendency however, to make a snap decision based on our “gut feelings” than a
more investigated and balanced decision. Chapter 25 discusses this phenomenon
called “The Affect Heuristic”: “Stories
make sense on an emotional level, so anything that conjures fear, empathy, or
pride will trump confusing statistics. It causes you to buy a security system
for your home but neglect to purchase radon detectors. It makes you carry
pepper spray while you clog your arteries with burritos. It installs metal
detectors in schools but leaves French fries on the menus. It creates
vegetarian smokers. Well known primal dangers are easy to see, easy to guard
against, even when greater danger looms. The affect heuristic speaks to your
basic sensibilities about risk and reward while neglecting the big picture and
the dangers of complex systems that require study and deeper understanding;”
(P.144).
“Self-Serving Bias” is the title of chapter 28. If
you always think that you are not worthy of anything and everyone around you is
better than you in every regard, how would you feel? You may not have survived
to read these articles. One of the reasons for our evolution to present stage
is our belief that we make right decisions and in comparison to others, we are
above everyone else. We may think of a few exceptions, but in general we find
ourselves better than those around us. We always have to keep a positive
attitude towards ourselves in order to progress and expand our horizons: “In the 1990s, there was a lot of research
aimed at discovering just how deluded people were when it came to failure and
success. The findings of these studies showed you tend to accept credit when
you succeed, but blame bad luck, unfair rules, difficult instructors, bad
bosses, cheaters, and so on when you fail. When you are doing well, you think
you are to blame, when you are doing badly, you think the world is to blame.
This behavior can be observed in board games, and senate races, group projects
and final exams;” (P.158).
We study history in order to predict future more
accurately. The more we learn about events happening around us, without being
subjected to propaganda, and read the history, the better we are equipped to
predict the future. However, if we have a hand in making that future, our
prediction will have a bigger chance to materialize. There are of course
factors outside of our control that affect our future goals and aspirations,
however when we are determined to achieve a goal, some of the outside factors
may also be shaped by us. Chapter 42 is titled “Self-Fulfillment Prophecies”,
and it discusses how our predictions are shaped: “Research shows you are highly susceptible to the phenomenon because you
are always trying to predict the behavior of others. The future is the result
of actions, and actions are the result of behavior, and behavior is the result
of prediction. This is called the Thomas Theorem. The sociologist W.I Thomas
presented in 1928, ‘if men define situations as real, they are real in their
consequences.’ Thomas noticed when people are trying to predict future events,
they make a lot of assumptions about the present. If those assumptions are
powerful enough, the resulting actions will lead to the predicted future;”
(P.231).
How much power one has, to control his or her
destiny, is the subject of chapter 47 “The Illusion of Control”. If we think
that we are in total control of our future, a failure could ruin us. If we
think that we do not have any control and fate would take us wherever it
desires, we are assured a failure. So, with most things, a middle ground may be
the optimum solution. But the feeling of having, or not having power is not
constant and changes depending on many factors. An interesting experiment in
chapter 47 titled “The Illusion of Control” reflects this: “In 2008, Nathaneal Fast and Deborah Gruenfeld
at Stanford University conducted experiments designed to reveal how the
illusion of control is created… They divided subjects into three groups. One
group wrote essay about a time in their life in which they remembered being a
leader. Another group wrote about a time when they were a follower. The third
group served as a control and wrote about going to the supermarket. After the
essays were finished, the groups played a game where they had to guess the roll
of a pair of dice. If they guessed correctly, they would get $5. The catch was
this: Choose yourself or another person to roll… sure enough, the illusion of
control had been properly primed in the group that wrote about being leaders. A
full 100 percent of them asked to roll the dice. In the subordinate group, 58
percent asked for control of the roll. The control group fell in between, with
69 percent asking to try their luck instead of handing the dice over to someone
else;” (P.262). Therefore, exercise of control is not necessarily the
character of what we call a controlling person, but it could be ignited or
extinguished depending on the situation. We know of many dictators who have
become submissive and subordinated when fallen from power. For an individual,
being in control and letting someone else control the situation is an important
decision to make. The chapter ends with: “You
can no more predict the course of your life than you could the shape of a
cloud. So seek to control the small things, the things that mater and let them
pile up into a heap of happiness. In the bigger picture, control is an illusion
anyway;” (P.263).
Last chapter “The
Fundamental Attribution Error” talks about cause and effect. When we are put
into certain conditions, we react as we have been expected to. To prove this
point, the author summarizes the famous Stanford Prison Experiment by Dr.
Zimbardo, when he divided some students into two groups of prisoners and prison
guards, and simulated a jail environment for them. From the first day, prison
guards adopted that character and started abusing the jailers. The book
continues in discussing why people can so easily be transformed into the
characters they are subjected to. Understanding outside factors in someone’s
behavior is the most important factor in a relationship: “When you interpret your loved one’s coldness as his or her indifference
to your wants and needs instead of as a reaction to stress at work or problems
ricocheting in your loved one’s own heart, you’ve committed the fundamental
attribution error. When you vote for someone because that person seems likable
and approachable, and ignore how much of their persona is contrived for the
sake of votes, it’s the same error at work. You commit it again when you assay
friendliness as sexual interest, or poverty as the result of laziness… You
blame the person, not the environment and the influence of the person’s peers…
The fundamental attribution error leads to labels and assumptions about who
people are, but remember first impressions are mostly incorrect. Those
impressions will linger until you get to know people and understand their
situation and the circumstances in which their behavior is generated. Knowing
this doesn’t mean you must forgive evil, but perhaps it can help prevent it;”
(P.274).
Copyright
@ 2011 by David McRaney; Published by Penguin Group