By: David Leonhardt
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/15/opinion/trump-coronavirus.html
March 15, 2020
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/15/opinion/trump-coronavirus.html
March 15, 2020
President Trump made his first public comments about the
coronavirus on Jan. 22, in a television interview from Davos with CNBC’s Joe
Kernen. The first American case had been announced the day before, and Kernen
asked Trump, “Are there worries about a pandemic at this point?” The president
responded: “No. Not at all. And we have it totally under control. It’s one
person coming in from China, and we have it under control. It’s going to be
just fine.” By this point, the seriousness of the virus was becoming clearer.
It had spread from China to four other countries. China was starting to take
drastic measures and was on the verge of closing off the city of Wuhan.
In the weeks that followed, Trump faced a series of
choices. He could have taken aggressive measures to slow the spread of the
virus. He could have insisted that the United States ramp up efforts to produce
test kits. He could have emphasized the risks that the virus presented and
urged Americans to take precautions if they had reason to believe they were
sick. He could have used the powers of the presidency to reduce the number of
people who would ultimately get sick.
He
did none of those things.
I’ve
reviewed all of his public statements and actions on coronavirus over the last
two months, and they show a president who put almost no priority on public
health. Trump’s priorities were different: Making the virus sound like a minor
nuisance. Exaggerating his administration’s response. Blaming foreigners and,
anachronistically, the Obama administration. Claiming incorrectly that the
situation was improving. Trying to cheer up stock market investors. (It was
fitting that his first public comments were from Davos and on CNBC.)
Now that the
severity of the virus is undeniable, Trump is already trying to present an
alternate history of the last two months. Below are the facts — a timeline of
what the president was saying, alongside statements from public-health experts
as well as data on the virus.
Late January
On the same
day that Trump was dismissing the risks on CNBC, Tom Frieden, who ran the
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention for eight years, wrote an op-ed for
the health care publication Stat. In it, Frieden warned that the virus would
continue spreading. “We need to learn — and fast — about how it spreads,” he
wrote. It was one of many such warnings from prominent experts in late January.
Many focused on the need to expand the capacity to test for the virus. In a
Wall Street Journal article titled, “Act Now to Prevent an American Epidemic,”
Luciana Borio and Scott Gottlieb — both former Trump administration officials —
wrote: “If public-health authorities don’t interrupt the spread soon, the virus
could infect many thousands more around the globe, disrupt air travel,
overwhelm health care systems, and, worst of all, claim more lives. The good
news: There’s still an opening to prevent a grim outcome. … But authorities
can’t act quickly without a test that can diagnose the condition rapidly.”
Trump,
however, repeatedly told Americans that there was no reason to worry. On Jan.
24, he tweeted, “It will all work out well.” On Jan. 28, he retweeted a
headline from One America News, an outlet with a history of spreading false
conspiracy theories: “Johnson & Johnson to create coronavirus vaccine.” On
Jan. 30, during a speech in Michigan, he said: “We have it very well under
control. We have very little problem in this country at this moment — five. And
those people are all recuperating successfully.”
That same
day, the World Health Organization declared coronavirus to be a “public-health
emergency of international concern.” It announced 7,818 confirmed cases around
the world.
Jan.
31
Trump took his only early, aggressive action against
the virus on Jan. 31: He barred most foreigners who had recently visited China
from entering the United States. It was a good move. But it was only one modest
move, not the sweeping solution that Trump portrayed it to be. It didn’t apply
to Americans who had been traveling in China, for example. And while it
generated some criticism from Democrats, it wasn’t nearly as unpopular as Trump
has. Two days after announcing the policy, Trump in Fox News exaggerated
the impact in an interview with Sean Hannity. “Coronavirus,” Hannity said. “How
concerned are you?”
Trump replied: “Well, we pretty much shut it down
coming in from China. We have a tremendous relationship with China, which is a
very positive thing. Getting along with China, getting along with Russia,
getting along with these countries.” By the time of that interview, the number
of confirmed coronavirus cases around the world had surged to, a near doubling
over the previous three days.
Early
February
On Feb. 5, the C.D.C. began coronavirus test kits
to laboratories around the country. But the tests suffered from a technical
flaw and didn’t produce reliable results, labs discovered. The technical
problems were understandable: Creating a new virus test is not easy. What’s
less understandable, experts say, is why the Trump administration officials
were so lax about finding a work-around, even as other countries were creating
reliable tests. The Trump administration could have begun to use a functioning
test from the World Health Organization. It could have removed regulations that
prevented private hospitals and labs from quickly developing their own tests.
The inaction meant that the United States fell behind South Korea, Singapore
and China in fighting the virus. “We just twiddled our thumbs as the
coronavirus waltzed in” a Harvard epidemiologist, wrote. Trump, for his part,
spent these first weeks of February telling Americans that the problem was
going away. On Feb. 10, he repeatedly said with Trish Regan of Fox
Business — that warm spring weather could kill the virus. “Looks like by April,
you know, in theory, when it gets a little warmer, it miraculously goes away,”
he told the rally.
On Feb. 19, to a Phoenix television station, “I
think the numbers are going to get progressively better as we go along.” Four
days later, he said of the situation “very much under control,” and added:
“We had 12, at one point. And now they’ve gotten very much better. Many of them
are fully recovered.” His message was clear: Coronavirus is a small problem,
and it is getting smaller. In truth, the shortage of testing meant that the
country didn’t know how bad the problem was. All of the available indicators
suggested it was getting worse, rapidly. On Feb. 23, the World Health
Organization announced that the virus was in 30 countries, with confirmed
cases, a more than fivefold increase over the previous three weeks.
Late
February
Trump seemed largely uninterested in the global virus
statistics during this period, but there were other indicators — stock-market
indexes — that mattered a lot to him. And by the last week of February, those
market indexes were falling. The president reacted by adding a new element to
his public remarks. He began blaming others. He admonished CNN and MSNBC
for “panicking markets.” He said at a South Carolina rally — falsely —
that “the Democrat policy of open borders” had brought the virus into the
country. He lashed out at “Do Nothing Democrat comrades.” “Cryin’ Chuck
Schumer,” mocking Schumer for arguing that Trump should be more aggressive in
fighting the virus. The next week, Trump would blame an Obama
administration regulation for slowing the production of test kits. There was no
truth to the charge.
Throughout late February, Trump also continued to
claim the situation was improving. He said: “We’re going down, not up. We’re
going very substantially down, not up.” He predicted: “It’s going to disappear.
One day — it’s like a miracle — it will disappear.”, he said a vaccine would be
available “very quickly” and “very rapidly” and praised his administration’s
actions as “the most aggressive measures taken by any country.” None of these
claims were true.
By the end
of February, there were 85,403 confirmed cases, in 55 countries around the
world.
Early March
Almost two
decades ago, during George W. Bush’s presidency, the federal government
developed guidelines for communicating during a public-health crisis. Among the
core principles are “be first,” “be right,” “be credible,” “show respect” and
“promote action.” But the Trump administration’s response to coronavirus, as a
Washington Post news story put it, is “breaking almost every rule in the book.”
The inconsistent and sometimes outright incorrect information coming from the
White House has left Americans unsure of what, if anything, to do. By early
March, experts already were arguing for aggressive measures to slow the virus’s
spread and avoid overwhelming the medical system. The presidential bully pulpit
could have focused people on the need to change their behavior in a way that no
private citizen could have. Trump could have specifically encouraged older
people — at most risk from the virus — to be careful. Once again, he chose not
to take action.
Instead, he
suggested on multiple occasions that the virus was less serious than the flu.
“We’re talking about a much smaller range” of deaths than from the flu, he said
on March 2. “It’s very mild,” he told Hannity on March 4. On March 7, he said,
“I’m not concerned at all.” On March 10, he promised: “It will go away. Just
stay calm. It will go away.” The first part of March was also when more people
began to understand that the United States had fallen behind on testing, and
Trump administration officials responded with untruths.
Alex Azar,
the secretary of health and human services, told ABC, “There is no testing kit
shortage, nor has there ever been.” Trump, while touring the C.D.C. on March 6,
said, “Anybody that wants a test can get a test.” That C.D.C. tour was a
microcosm of Trump’s entire approach to the crisis. While speaking on camera,
he made statements that were outright wrong, like the testing claim. He brought
up issues that had nothing to do with the virus, like his impeachment. He made
clear that he cared more about his image than about people’s well-being, by
explaining that he favored leaving infected passengers on a cruise ship so they
wouldn’t increase the official number of American cases. He also suggested that
he knew as much as any scientist: “I like this stuff. I really get it. People
are surprised that I understand it. Every one of these doctors said, ‘How do
you know so much about this?’ Maybe I have a natural ability. Maybe I should
have done that instead of running for president.”
On March 10,
the World Health Organization reported 113,702 cases of the virus in more than
100 countries.
Mid-March and beyond
On the night
of March 11, Trump gave an Oval Office address meant to convey seriousness. It
included some valuable advice, like the importance of hand-washing. But it also
continued many of the old patterns of self-congratulation, blame-shifting and
misinformation. Afterward, Trump aides corrected three different misstatements.
This pattern has continued in the days since the Oval Office address. Trump now
seems to understand that coronavirus isn’t going away anytime soon. But he also
seems to view it mostly as a public-relations emergency for himself rather than
a public-health emergency for the country. On Sunday, he used his Twitter feed
to lash out at Schumer and Joe Biden and to praise Michael Flynn, the former
Trump aide who pleaded guilty to lying to the F.B.I.
Around the
world, the official virus count has climbed above 142,000. In the United
States, scientists expect that between tens of millions and 215 million
Americans will ultimately be infected, and the death toll could range from the
tens of thousands to 1.7 million. At every point, experts have emphasized that
the country could reduce those terrible numbers by taking action. And at almost
every point, the president has ignored their advice and insisted, “It’s going
to be just fine.”
Susan Beachy
and Ian Prasad Philbrick contributed research.
No comments:
Post a Comment