A new budget loophole will send pentagon spending soaring even higher.
June
22, 2023
On
June 3rd, President Joe Biden signed a bill into law that lifted the
government’s debt ceiling and capped some categories of government spending.
The big winner was — surprise, surprise! — the Pentagon.
Congress
spared military-related programs any cuts while freezing all other categories
of discretionary spending at the fiscal year 2023 level (except support for
veterans). Indeed, lawmakers set the budget for the Pentagon and for other
national security programs like nuclear-related work developing nuclear
warheads at the Department of Energy at the level requested in the
administration’s Fiscal Year 2024 budget proposal — a 3.3% increase in military
spending to a whopping total of $886 billion. Consider that preferential
treatment of the first order and, mind you, for the only government agency
that’s failed to pass a single financial audit!
Even
so, that $886 billion hike in Pentagon and related spending is likely to prove
just a floor, not a ceiling, on what will be allocated for “national defense” next
year. An analysis of the deal by the Wall Street Journal found that spending on
the Pentagon and veterans’ care — neither of which is frozen in the agreement —
is likely to pass $1 trillion next year.
Congress spared military-related programs any cuts while freezing all other categories of discretionary spending at the fiscal year 2023 level (except support for veterans).
Compare
that to the $637 billion left for the rest of the government’s discretionary
budget. In other words, public health, environmental protection, housing,
transportation, and almost everything else the government undertakes will have
to make do with not even 45% of the federal government’s discretionary budget,
less than what would be needed to keep up with inflation. (Forget addressing
unmet needs in this country.)
And
count on one thing: national security spending is likely to increase even more,
thanks to a huge (if little-noticed) loophole in that budget deal, one that
hawks in Congress are already salivating over how best to exploit. Yes, that
loophole is easy to miss, given the bureaucratese used to explain it, but its
potential impact on soaring military budgets couldn’t be clearer. In its
analysis of the budget deal, the Congressional Budget Office noted that “funding
designated as an emergency requirement or for overseas contingency operations
would not be constrained” by anything the senators and House congressional
representatives had agreed to.
As
we should have learned from the 20 years of all-American wars in Afghanistan
and Iraq, the term “overseas contingency” can be stretched to cover almost
anything the Pentagon wants to spend your tax dollars on. In fact, there was
even an “Overseas Contingency Operations” (OCO) account supposedly reserved for
funding this country’s seemingly never-ending post-9/11 wars. And it certainly
was used to fund them, but hundreds of billions of dollars of Pentagon projects
that had nothing to do with the conflicts in Iraq or Afghanistan were funded
that way as well. The critics of Pentagon overspending quickly dubbed it that
department’s “slush fund.”
So,
prepare yourself for “Slush Fund II” (coming soon to a theater near you). This
time the vehicle for padding the Pentagon budget is likely to be the next
military aid package for Ukraine, which will likely be put forward as an
emergency bill later this year. Expect
that package to include not only aid to help Ukraine fend off Russia’s ongoing
brutal invasion but tens of billions of dollars more to — yes, of course! —
pump up the Pentagon’s already bloated budget.
Senator
Lindsey Graham (R-SC) made just such a point in talking with reporters shortly
after the debt-ceiling deal was passed by Congress. “There will be a day before
too long,” he told them, “where we’ll have to deal with the Ukrainian
situation. And that will create an opportunity for me and others to fill in the
deficiencies that exist from this budget deal.”
Senate
Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) made a similar point in a statement on the
Senate floor during the debate over that deal. “The debt ceiling deal,” he
said, “does nothing to limit the Senate’s ability to appropriate
emergency/supplemental funds to ensure our military capabilities are sufficient
to deter China, Russia, and our other adversaries and respond to ongoing and
growing national security threats.”
One
potential (and surprising) snag in the future plans of those Pentagon budget
boosters in both parties may be the position of House Speaker Kevin McCarthy
(R-CA). He has, in fact, described efforts to increase Pentagon spending beyond
the level set in the recent budget deal as “part of the problem.” For the
moment at least, he openly opposes producing an emergency package to increase
the Pentagon budget, saying:
“The last five audits the
Department of Defense [have] failed. So there’s a lot of places for reform
[where] we can have a lot of savings. We’ve plussed it up. This is the most
money we’ve ever spent on defense — this is the most money anyone in the world
has ever spent on defense. So I don’t think the first answer is to do a
supplemental.”
The
Massive Overfunding of the Pentagon
The
Department of Defense is, of course, already massively overfunded. That $886
billion figure is among the highest ever — hundreds of billions of dollars more
than at the peak of the Korean or Vietnam wars or during the most intensely
combative years of the Cold War. It’s higher than the combined military budgets
of the next 10 countries combined, most of whom are, in any case, U.S. allies.
And it’s estimated to be three times what the Chinese military, the Pentagon’s
“pacing threat,” receives annually. Consider it an irony that actually “keeping
pace” with China would involve a massive cut in military spending, not an
increase in the Pentagon’s bloated budget.
It
also should go without saying that preparations to effectively defend the
United States and its allies could be achieved for so much less than is
currently lavished on the Pentagon. A
new approach could easily save significantly more than $100 billion in fiscal
year 2024, as proposed by Representatives Barbara Lee (D-CA) and Mark Pocan
(D-WI) in the People Over Pentagon Act, the preeminent budget-cut proposal in
Congress. An illustrative report released by the Congressional Budget Office
(CBO) in late 2021 sketched out three scenarios, all involving a less
interventionist, more restrained approach to defense that would include greater
reliance on allies. Each option would reduce America’s 1.3-million-strong
active military force (by up to one-fifth in one scenario). Total savings from
the CBO’s proposed changes would, over a decade, be $1 trillion.
And
a more comprehensive approach that shifted away from the current “cover the
globe” strategy of being able to fight (though, as the history of this century
shows, not always win) wars virtually anywhere on Earth on short notice —
without allies, if necessary — could save hundreds of billions more over the
next decade. Cutting bureaucracy and making other changes in defense policy
could also yield yet more savings. To cite just two examples, reducing the
Pentagon’s cohort of more than half-a-million private contract employees and
scaling back its nuclear weapons “modernization” program would save
significantly more than $300 billion extra over a decade.
But
none of this is even remotely likely without concerted public pressure to, as a
start, keep members of Congress from adding tens of billions of dollars in
spending on parochial military projects that channel funding into their states
or districts. And it would also mean pushing back against the propaganda of
Pentagon contractors who claim they need ever more money to provide adequate
tools to defend the country.
Contractors
Crying Wolf
While
demanding ever more of our tax dollars, the giant military-industrial
corporations are spending all too much of their time simply stuffing the
pockets of their shareholders rather than investing in the tools needed to
actually defend this country. A recent Department of Defense report found that,
from 2010-2019, such companies increased by 73% over the previous decade what
they paid their shareholders. Meanwhile, their investment in research,
development, and capital assets declined significantly. Still, such
corporations claim that, without further Pentagon funding, they can’t afford to
invest enough in their businesses to meet future national security challenges,
which include ramping up weapons production to provide arms for Ukraine.
In
reality, however, the financial data suggests that they simply chose to reward
their shareholders over everything and everyone else, even as they experienced
steadily improving profit margins and cash generation. In fact, the report
pointed out that those companies “generate substantial amounts of cash beyond
their needs for operations or capital investment.” So instead of investing
further in their businesses, they choose to eat their “seed corn” by
prioritizing short-term gains over long-term investments and by “investing”
additional profits in their shareholders. And when you eat your seed corn, you
have nothing left to plant next year.
Never
fear, though, since Congress seems eternally prepared to bail them out. Their
businesses, in fact, continue to thrive because Congress authorizes funding for
the Pentagon to repeatedly grant them massive contracts, no matter their
performance or lack of internal investment. No other industry could get away
with such maximalist thinking.
Military
contractors outperform similarly sized companies in non-defense industries in
eight out of nine key financial metrics — including higher total returns to
shareholders (a category where they leave much of the rest of the S&P 500
in the dust). They financially outshine their commercial counterparts for two
obvious reasons: first, the government subsidizes so many of their costs;
second, the weapons industry is so concentrated that its major firms have
little or no competition.
Adding
insult to injury, contractors are overcharging the government for the basic
weaponry they produce while they rake in cash to enrich their shareholders. In
the past 15 years, the Pentagon’s internal watchdog has exposed price gouging
by contractors ranging from Boeing and Lockheed Martin to lesser-known
companies like TransDigm Group. In 2011, Boeing made about $13 million in excess
profits by overcharging the Army for 18 spare parts used in Apache and Chinook
helicopters. To put that in perspective, the Army paid $1,678.61 each for a
tiny helicopter part that the Pentagon already had in stock at its own
warehouse for only $7.71.
Lockheed Martin, the
biggest of them, got a staggering 73% of its $66 billion in net sales from the
government in 2022.
The
Pentagon found Lockheed Martin and Boeing price gouging together in 2015. They
overcharged the military by “hundreds of millions of dollars” for missiles.
TransDigm similarly made $16 million by overcharging for spare parts between
2015 and 2017 and even more in the following two years, generating nearly $21
million in excess profits. If you can believe it, there is no legal requirement
for such companies to refund the government if they’re exposed for price
gouging.
Of
course, there’s nothing new about such corporate price gouging, nor is it
unique to the arms industry. But it’s especially egregious there, given how
heavily the major military contractors depend on the government’s business.
Lockheed Martin, the biggest of them, got a staggering 73% of its $66 billion
in net sales from the government in 2022. Boeing, which does far more
commercial business, still generated 40% of its revenue from the government
that year. (Down from 51% in 2020.)
Despite
their reliance on government contracts, companies like Boeing seem to be
doubling down on practices that often lead to price gouging. According to
Bloomberg News, between 2020 and 2021, Boeing refused to provide the Pentagon
with certified cost and pricing data for nearly 11,000 spare parts on a single
Air Force contract. Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) and Representative John
Garamendi (D-CA) have demanded that the Pentagon investigate since, without
such information, the department will continue to be hard-pressed to ensure
that it’s paying anything like a fair price, whatever its purchases.
Curbing
the Special Interest Politics of “Defense”
Reining
in rip-offs and corruption on the part of weapons contractors large and small
could save the American taxpayer untold billions of dollars. And curbing
special-interest politics on the part of the denizens of the
military-industrial-congressional complex (MICC) could help open the way towards
the development of a truly defensive global military strategy rather than the
current interventionist approach that has embroiled the United States in the
devastating and counterproductive wars of this century.
One
modest step towards reining in the power of the arms lobby would be to revamp
the campaign finance system by providing federal matching funds, thereby
diluting the influential nature of the tens of millions in campaign
contributions the arms industry makes every election cycle. In addition,
prohibiting retiring top military officers from going to work for arms-making
companies — or, at least, extending the cooling off period to at least four
years before they can do so, as proposed by Senator Warren — would also help
reduce the undue influence exerted by the MICC.
Last
but not least, steps could be taken to prevent the military services from
giving Congress their annual wish lists — officially known as “unfunded
priorities lists” — of items they want added to the Pentagon budget. After all,
those are but another tool allowing members of Congress to add billions more
than what the Pentagon has even asked for to that department’s budget.
Whether
such reforms alone, if adopted, would be enough to truly roll back excess
Pentagon spending remains to be seen. Without them, however, count on one
thing: the department’s budget will almost certainly continue to soar,
undoubtedly reaching $1 trillion or more annually within just the next few
years. Americans can’t afford to let
that happen.
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