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Friday, January 17, 2025

‘Complete surrender’: How gaza defeated Israel and what it means—analysis

Ramzy Baroud
Israel’s National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir accused the Israeli government of Benjamin Netanyahu of “a complete surrender to Hamas,” calling the Gaza ceasefire agreement a “surrender deal.”
 
 Hamada Shaqoura, a Palestinian man who used to be a food blogger, distributes food to children after cooking a meal for displaced people, in Khan Younis in the southern Gaza Strip on January 16, 2025. BASHAR TALEB / AFP via Getty Images
For once, Ben-Gvir is right.
For over 15 months, the Israeli military has tried every possible strategy to achieve victory in Gaza, yet it has failed. Analysts will spend years trying to understand how a country with such advanced killing technologies could fail to subdue a group of fighters who make their own weapons, or more accurately, how a group of fighters, relying on improvised weapons, managed to defeat an entire arsenal provided to Israel by the United States, Britain, Germany, Italy, and many other Western and non-Western countries.
Gaza has been under a hermetic Israeli siege for nearly two decades, during which Israel has launched major wars on the region—starting in 2008 and culminating in the latest onslaught. This recent war, however, was not just another round of violence. It was genocidal in scope, a campaign of destruction unprecedented in the region’s history.
Israel will attempt, with the help of its allies in the media, to frame the Palestinian victory in Gaza as a defeat. Netanyahu and his allies within his extremist cabinet – with a few exceptions – will likely downplay the failure or attempt to distort the narrative.
These so-called “achievements” by Israel do not even qualify as tactical victories. On the contrary, Israel’s actions have caused the destruction of Gaza and led to countless civilian casualties, including women and children.
Israel assumed that by destroying Gaza, it would eradicate the resistance. However, that calculation was deeply flawed. The resistance in Gaza is directly tied to the Palestinian people. It’s not about eliminating a specific number of fighters but about the enduring bond between the people and the resistance itself.
This bond remained unbroken; in fact, it became even stronger. Without committing outright mass genocide—as in killing every Palestinian in Gaza—Israel could not extinguish the resistance. Some politicians, such as Israel’s Minister of Heritage Amihai Eliyahu, repeatedly made such a demand, calling for the dropping of a nuclear bomb on Gaza.
Ultimately, Israel failed, though it killed and wounded, in the estimation of the Lancet medical journal, hundreds of thousands of Palestinians.
This time, Israel’s failure cannot be dismissed as merely not achieving its objectives. The Israeli army suffered devastating losses—greater than in any military confrontation with Arab armies since Israel’s establishment in 1948.
These losses were inflicted by grassroots resistance groups that do not rely on alliances with major powers, such as the former Soviet Union, to sustain their fight. Instead, these groups rely on their own resources, their own people, and their own strategies.
The significance of this resistance lies in its introduction of a new model of anti-colonial struggle in the Arab world, unifying non-state actors—such as the Resistance in Gaza, Hezbollah in Lebanon, Ansarallah in Yemen, and other groups across the region—that fought with a single strategy. This unified approach succeeded in weakening Israel’s economy, overwhelming its army, and ultimately defeating it on the battlefield.
Israel has, in fact, been defeated. After 15 months of fighting, Israel surrendered to the Resistance. This surrender reflects Israel’s admission that it could neither reoccupy Gaza, destroy the resistance, ethnically cleanse Palestinians, counter regional resistance groups, nor sustain the war any longer.
As a result, Israel agreed to return to the same ceasefire terms that Hamas had accepted as early as May and again in July of last year. This marks a historic moment.
This defeat will have profound repercussions. It highlights the unbreakable and unified nature of the Palestinian Resistance. It reaffirms the people’s resolve to continue their struggle, drawing inspiration from the words of the great African-American leader Malcolm X: “By any means necessary.”
 
Jonathan Cook
There are so many lies, deceptions and misdirections in Sir Keir Starmer’s statement on the ceasefire agreed between Israel and Hamas yesterday that they need to be picked apart line by line.
 
Starmer: After months of devastating bloodshed and countless lives lost, this is the long-overdue news that the Israeli and Palestinian people have desperately been waiting for. They have borne the brunt of this conflict – triggered by the brutal terrorists of Hamas, who committed the deadliest massacre of Jewish people since the Holocaust on October 7th, 2023.
Under no reasonable definition can the last 15 months be described as a “conflict”. The slaughter and maiming of hundreds of thousands of civilians, as well as Israel’s program to starve the rest of the population, should rightly be understood as a genocide, one the International Court of Justice began investigating a year ago, and one that has been attested to by every major international human rights group, as well as a growing number of Holocaust scholars.
Starmer does at least hint at the truth in conceding that the ceasefire is “long overdue”. The genocide in Gaza could have been brought to an end at any point by US pressure. Indeed, the outlines of the current ceasefire were advanced by the Biden administration back in May. It was Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu who blocked progress. Israel’s western patrons, including Starmer, rewarded him with weapons, intelligence and diplomatic cover. If the ceasefire is “overdue”, Starmer is fully responsible for that delay.
Further, the “conflict” wasn’t “triggered” by Hamas’ attack of October 7, as Starmer claims. The “conflict” has been going on for more than three-quarters of a century, triggered by Israel’s continuous efforts to ethnically cleanse Palestinians from their homeland, with western backing, in an explicitly colonial project. Israel wants us to believe the “conflict” clock started ticking on October 7. Only the ignorant, and contemptible politicians like Starmer, repeat that lie.
The killings on October 7 2023 weren’t “the deadliest massacre of Jewish people” since the Holocaust. That’s another cynical Israeli talking point repeated by Starmer whose sole purpose is to rationalise Israel’s genocide. The “deadliest massacre” for Jews since the Holocaust was, in fact, committed by the Argentinian junta, which disappeared and murdered thousands of Jews in the late 1970s. And unlike Hamas, whose victims were killed not because they were Jews but because they were Israelis and viewed as members of an oppressor nation, Argentina’s generals killed Jews specifically for being Jewish. Nonetheless, that massacre – inconvenient to the West – has been carefully memory-holed, including by Starmer.
Starmer: The hostages, who were brutally ripped from their homes on that day and held captive in unimaginable conditions ever since, can now finally return to their families. But we should also use this moment to pay tribute to those who won’t make it home – including the British people who were murdered by Hamas. We will continue to mourn and remember them.
For the innocent Palestinians whose homes turned into a warzone overnight and the many who have lost their lives, this ceasefire must allow for a huge surge in humanitarian aid, which is so desperately needed to end the suffering in Gaza.
Notice Starmer’s sleight of hand here. He blames Hamas for everything that has happened over the past 15 months, including the mass slaughter of Palestinians carried out by Israel.
First, he correctly holds Hamas responsible for taking Israelis hostage – though, of course, like everyone else, Starmer fails to make the important legal distinction between the civilians who were taken hostage, a war crime, and occupying Israeli soldiers who were captured, not a war crime. But he then goes on to hold Hamas, not Israel, responsible for the genocide of the people of Gaza.
Presumably for that reason, the Israeli dead need to be “mourned”, “remembered” and paid “tribute”. But according to Starmer’s statement, the Palestinian dead need to be neither mourned nor remembered.
Whatever Starmer claims, Palestinian homes weren’t “turned into a war zone”, with the implication – again echoing a favorite and mendacious Israeli talking point – that Hamas has used Palestinians as human shields, leaving Israel with little choice but to kill them by the tens of thousands. Rather, Palestinian homes were deliberately leveled in an Israeli campaign of bombing far more intense than anything inflicted on Dresden or Hamburg. We know from the Israeli media that the targets of these bombing campaigns were generated automatically by AI programmes that were given the widest possible licence. In most cases, buildings were bombed without reference to any Hamas activity in the vicinity.
Next, Starmer falsely makes a connection between the ceasefire and the ability of international agencies to bring humanitarian aid into Gaza. But it was not fighting that stopped humanitarian aid entering Gaza. It was Israel’s decision to impose a genocidal, Medieval-style aid blockade, with the stated goal of starving the population. A goal, let us never forget, that Starmer explicitly endorsed, stating that Israel had the right to deny the people of Gaza food, water and power. Let us note too that Netanyahu and his former defence minister, Yoav Gallant, are being sought by the International Criminal Court for crimes against humanity that relate specifically to the starvation policy Starmer supported.
Starmer: And then our attention must turn to how we secure a permanently better future for the Israeli and Palestinian people – grounded in a two-state solution that will guarantee security and stability for Israel, alongside a sovereign and viable Palestine state.
It is far, far too late, as Starmer knows, to be talking about a “better future” for Gaza now that its homes have been destroyed, its hospitals are in ruins, its schools and universities are levelled, it agricultural land devastated. Estimates are that it will likely take 80 years to rebuild the enclave. How are a “better future” and a “sovereign and viable Palestinian state” going to emerge out of Gaza’s ruins.
Had Starmer been serious about “a two-state solution”, he could have done many things to facilitate it as soon as he entered office. He could have imposed a real arms embargo on Israel, one that would have deprived it of the components it needs to keep its F-35s flying over Gaza, dropping bombs. He could have backed South Africa’s genocide case at the ICJ. He could have recognised a Palestinian state, as several European countries have done but Britain hasn’t. He could have refused to transport weapons to Israel and provide it with aerial intelligence from the UK’s air base in Cyprus. He could have promised to arrest Netanyahu and Gallant should they land in the UK. He could have refused to shelter the Israeli military’s chief of staff, General Herzi Halevi, in London in November by issuing him with special immunity from arrest and prosecution by the ICC. And Starmer’s foreign secretary, David Lammy, could have rejected an invitation to Israel this week to “deepen the partnership” between the UK and Israel in the midst of a genocide.
Starmer: The UK and its allies will continue to be at the forefront of these crucial efforts to break the cycle of violence and secure long-term peace in the Middle East.
All that the UK under Starmer will be at the forefront of doing is continuing to shill for Israel, perpetuating “the cycle of violence” – a colonial cycle of violence that the British initiated in Palestine with the Balfour Declaration in 1917 – and ensuring peace remains unachievable as instability spreads across the Middle East.
 
Seraj Assi
January 16, 2025
Mediators announced on Wednesday that Israel and Hamas have reached a ceasefire agreement in Gaza, which consists of a six-week initial phase, and includes the gradual withdrawal of Israeli forces from Gaza and release of hostages held by Hamas in exchange for Palestinians imprisoned by Israel.
The final details of the deal are still undergoing negotiation, and the Israeli government must still ratify the agreement. If the agreement holds, it would be a welcome respite. “A ceasefire is long overdue,” said UNICEF Executive Director Catherine Russell. “Too many children have been killed or lost loved ones in a tragic start to the new year.” But while it’s tempting to succumb to euphoria after 15 months of endless bloodshed and heartless brutality, we must maintain a sense of sobriety and admit that a ceasefire alone does nothing to remedy Israel’s gross violations of human rights and international law, which will continue to perpetuate genocide through starvation and public health crisis, even if the bombs are no longer falling.
With the brutal blockade of Gaza still in place, the ceasefire deal will not bring an end to the genocide — the blockade in itself constitutes an act of genocide, to cite former International Criminal Court Chief Prosecutor Luis Moreno Ocampo. Ocampo was referring to Israeli forces impeding access to food, water, fuel, medical supplies, and other essentials in Gaza for nearly two decades, which is considered an act of genocide under Article II of the Genocide Convention: “Deliberately inflicting on the group conditions of life calculated to bring about its physical destruction in whole or in part.”
Israel’s genocidal tactics in Gaza stretch back well before October 2023. Starting in 2006, in what amounted to a collective punishment of a civilian population, Israel imposed a stringent blockade on Gaza, during which it regulated food imports into the besieged strip in accordance with calories consumed per person, to limit the transfers of food and medicine to a “humanitarian minimum,” or “to put the Palestinians on a diet,” as Israeli officials mused then. To tighten the siege, Israel set up a wide buffer zone inside Gaza, which impeded the flow of goods, imposed stifling restrictions on the movements of people, and led to forced displacements and separation of families. As a result, thousands of Palestinians perished under siege. For example, between 2008 and 2021, the World Health Organization (WHO) recorded that at least 839 Palestinians had died while waiting for medical permits to leave Gaza for urgent medical treatment.
From the international justice perspective, these deprivations are considered genocidal. Reviewing the Srebrenica case, the International Court of Justice ruled that “deprivation of food, medical care, shelter or clothing” constitute a genocide. Or as Ocampo sums it up: “Starvation is the invisible Genocide weapon.” Imposing this state of deprivation also constitutes an act of aggression. According to international law, imposing a blockade is an act of war.
Even before 2023, the siege had rendered Gaza a living hell. In 2018, five years before Israel’s genocidal war, the UN concluded that Gaza was “unlivable.” Come October 2023, Gaza was already looking into the abyss. That means no ceasefire can hold without lifting the suffocating siege and ending Israel’s yearslong blockade of Gaza, which is both inhumane and unlawful. The United Nations still considers Israel an occupying power in Gaza, because Israel still controls Gaza by land, air and sea. And this will continue to be the case even once the recently announced ceasefire deal takes effect. Gaza itself is a colossal refugee camp created by Israel in the wake of the Nakba.
While a ceasefire would stop the most immediate forms of bloodshed and offer a fleeting relief, it would not end Gaza’s miseries. It would lay bare the total destruction that Israel has wrought on the besieged strip. According to a UN report, it could take 350 years for Gaza to rebuild if it remains under a blockade. Just cleaning Gaza’s rubble could take 15 years, according to the United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East (UNRWA), not to mention thousands of tons of unexploded ordnance that remains scattered across the Strip. It will take Gaza generations to heal, with over 50,000 dead, 100,000 maimed, 2 million displaced, over 20,000 children lost or missing under rubble and thousands more orphaned.
More appalling still is Israel’s ongoing assault on UNRWA, which “amounts to criminalization of humanitarian aid,” according to Amnesty International. In October 2024, Israeli legislators passed two bills that ban UNRWA from operating in Gaza and the West Bank. The ban is set to take effect in two weeks. If implemented as planned, the UNRWA ban will impede immediate relief efforts and food distribution in the besieged strip.
UNRWA has been the backbone of humanitarian relief efforts in Gaza during the yearlong genocide, providing two-thirds of all primary health care, food to half the population, one-third of the polio vaccinators operating there, education and psychosocial support to nearly 1 million people (including over half a million children), and emergency shelter to nearly 2 million displaced people. UN officials have warned that Israel’s expulsion of UNRWA will hasten the collapse of social order in the ravaged enclave, where Israeli lawmakers have seemed intent to “purge northern Gaza of residents by use of sieges, infrastructure destruction, and the destruction of the last sources of water, food, and energy in northern Gaza,” as Haaretz reported.
Gaza as we know it no longer exists, and when Israeli leaders and generals boast of having bombed Gaza “back to the Stone Age,” they are not speaking in metaphorical terms. Israel has destroyed Gaza for generations to come and rendered it “totally and completely uninhabitable.” Many displaced Palestinians do not know if their homes are still standing or buried under rubble.
And yet, the deal does not mention reparations for Palestinians who have lost their homes, schools, hospitals, shelters, mosques, universities, libraries and museums. It does not mention reparations for those whose water wells, grain mills and agricultural land have been destroyed and poisoned, or for those whose entire urban infrastructure has been wiped out. (In a year’s span, Israel has dropped well over 85,000 metric tons of mostly U.S.-made bombs on Gaza, the equivalent of multiple nuclear bombs.) The ceasefire deal is really more of a hostage deal. In exchange for nearly 100 Israeli hostages, 3,000 Palestinian prisoners will be released in stages — only a fraction of the over 10,000 prisoners held in Israeli torture camps in deplorable conditions, most of whom have been forcibly kidnapped from Gaza since October 2023, according to the Commission of Detainees Affairs and the Palestinian Prisoners’ Society.
This is a fragile deal, elusive and negotiated in bad faith. Calling it a “ceasefire” is greatly misleading. It’s nothing but a pause in genocide to allow the release of Israeli hostages held in Gaza. It’s by no means permanent, merely a temporary “pause in fighting,” with no guarantees that Israel will even adhere to it, especially since Israeli negotiators have insisted on keeping troops in Gaza, while Israeli forces have continually violated a ceasefire agreement in Lebanon over 100 times. Israel’s long history of violating ceasefire agreements in Gaza is well-documented, generating justifiable concern over whether Israel will soon resume its ethnic cleansing of Gaza after the hostages are released. Netanyahu’s last-minute attempt to delay the ceasefire vote and sabotage the deal has spurred fears of potential genocidal concessions to his extremist government. Israel has massacred at least 87 Palestinians in Gaza since the deal was announced.
Displaced Palestinians wishing to return to their homes in the north may also face the deadly prospect of trigger-happy Israeli soldiers. In late November 2023, two months into the Gaza genocide, Israel and Hamas reached a temporary ceasefire agreement; on its first day, the Israeli military opened fire on hundreds of Palestinians attempting to return to their homes in northern Gaza.
A ceasefire does not absolve Israeli leaders of war crimes and crimes against humanity. The war criminals who have committed this genocide must be brought to justice. Nor does it absolve Joe Biden, whose administration has funded and armed Israel’s genocidal machine to the hilt for over a year, while refusing to rein in Israel’s atrocities or force it to stop the bloodshed.
The grim reality of Israeli occupation has been a constant in Gaza, regardless of headlines about ceasefires signed and breached. When you imprison 2 million people in 140 square miles, placing them under a merciless siege with no end in sight, with no way in or out, with drones and rockets buzzing overhead night and day, with constant surveillance and harassment, with scant control over their day-to-day lives and an all-around sense of living in hell, a peace deal that glosses over these injustices will not hold.
The Gaza genocide is far from over.
We must keep talking about Gaza, keep alive our solidarity, and not allow the ceasefire to divert our attention from the ongoing struggle to end the occupation — an injustice that runs deeper than the recent military onslaught.

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